Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 5.794936e-01 0.746646 0.935606 1.162463 1.424856 1.716360 2.062192
2025-10-12 3.491826e-01 0.554189 0.817274 1.167782 1.610781 2.140945 2.811985
2025-10-19 1.977330e-01 0.398601 0.693859 1.128903 1.723926 2.481560 3.490722
2025-10-26 1.102359e-01 0.291984 0.600248 1.100143 1.833214 2.816083 4.179566
2025-11-02 6.366611e-02 0.226694 0.545349 1.108529 1.984142 3.207608 4.958924
2025-11-09 3.131299e-02 0.164706 0.473074 1.070604 2.055770 3.488032 5.599034
2025-11-16 1.825632e-02 0.138257 0.456984 1.118904 2.256799 3.956805 6.511974
2025-11-23 8.556646e-03 0.107948 0.420458 1.121515 2.381260 4.316785 7.283891
2025-11-30 4.905132e-03 0.096576 0.423435 1.196707 2.627440 4.865676 8.339917
2025-12-07 2.255733e-03 0.082399 0.413243 1.242619 2.825093 5.347143 9.311933
2025-12-14 6.944656e-04 0.066563 0.390818 1.258101 2.968628 5.748669 10.177076
2025-12-21 7.053090e-05 0.049552 0.354674 1.235979 3.040822 6.038584 10.883193
2025-12-28 4.581507e-07 0.039958 0.339482 1.260515 3.203042 6.483552 11.843119
2026-01-04 NaN 0.030865 0.319579 1.269839 3.336678 6.887149 12.752143
2026-01-11 NaN 0.020609 0.283497 1.230452 3.372256 7.130259 13.422619
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013556 0.254024 1.200826 3.422534 7.397289 14.134595
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009814 0.239764 1.210198 3.550987 7.799007 15.063795
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005645 0.211320 1.170111 3.572273 8.016494 15.707496
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004629 0.212158 1.221575 3.790545 8.580746 16.910182
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002966 0.199027 1.224411 3.903060 8.962532 17.829089
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002756 0.208083 1.304302 4.188915 9.656818 19.259673
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002167 0.208237 1.353036 4.407523 10.236502 20.514898
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001393 0.199823 1.369465 4.554111 10.690928 21.575204